Performance

Race Time Predictor

Enter one race result and predict your equivalent times across all standard distances. Based on the widely used Riegel formula.

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Gear for chasing your next PB

When you have a target time, the right tools help you get there - and track every step of the journey.

Garmin Forerunner 265

Race predictor updates in real time during your run. Tracks whether you're on target pace and flags when you're overreaching.

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Nike Pegasus

Versatile everyday trainer that handles every type of session - from long slow miles to race-pace tempo work.

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SiS Go Energy Gels

For half marathon and marathon targets, dialling in race nutrition is as important as your training paces.

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Premium PDF

Half marathon training plans

Half marathon plans for every level, with pacing tables and race-week preparation built in.

Half MarathonPDF

Beginners Half Marathon Finisher Plan

£5.99

Beginner·12 weeks
Half MarathonPDF

Intermediate Half Marathon Running Plan

£5.99

Intermediate·12 weeks
Half MarathonPDF

Breaking the Barrier: 1:45 Half Marathon Plan

£5.99

Advanced·12 weeks

View all training plans

How the Race Time Predictor works

The calculator uses the Riegel formula: T2 = T1 × (D2/D1)^1.06. The exponent 1.06 accounts for the fact that runners slow down disproportionately as distance increases - running economy and fatigue have a larger effect on longer races. Predictions are most accurate when the input and target distances are within 2× of each other.

Frequently asked questions

How accurate is the race time predictor?

The Riegel formula is reliable for comparing similar distances. It becomes less accurate when predicting a marathon from a 5K because the two races require quite different physiological demands. A 10K to half marathon prediction, or a half marathon to marathon prediction, is typically within 2–3 minutes for well-trained runners.

Why is my marathon prediction slower than I expected?

The formula applies a fatigue penalty that increases with distance. Many runners also slow down in the second half of a marathon if undertrained - the formula assumes consistent fitness across both distances. If you've specifically trained for the marathon, you may outperform the prediction.

Can I use this to set a race goal?

Yes, with caution. Use it as a starting point, not a target. Also check the Training Paces Calculator to see if the target pace sits within a realistic training zone for your current fitness.